Lexington SC desperately need points on Sunday, Jul 5 at 12:00 AM in the USL Championship. With the team sitting in the bottom three, this is quickly becoming a must-win situation.

Tampa Bay Rowdies come into this fixture in good form (3W 2D 0L recently). Lexington SC travel out of form (1W 2L recently), which may hand the initiative to the hosts.

Head-to-head records offer little separation — Tampa Bay Rowdies and Lexington SC have split their 1 meetings almost evenly (0W–1D–0W). Their last encounter ended in a 1–1 draw.

Verdict: The gulf in league position makes Tampa Bay Rowdies clear favorites, but Lexington SC have shown they can grind out results. Expect Tampa Bay Rowdies to take the points, potentially without being at their best.